Monmouth (NJ)
W-L: ( 9- 8) PR = 79.7954Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Merrimack Metro Atlan ( 6-11, 74.3) 13-10 211 H La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 3-14, 71.6) 16- 6 214 A Wagner Northeast ( 6- 9, 74.0) 13- 6 218 A Rutgers Big Ten (11- 9, 90.9) 5-20 222 H Youngstown State MAC ( 3-13, 72.3) 17- 7 301 H Lafayette Patriot ( 5-10, 79.1) 7-10 304 A Rider Metro Atlan ( 1-16, 72.3) 17- 8 311 H Sacred Heart Metro Atlan ( 5-10, 74.8) 15- 5 315 H Stony Brook Colonial (19- 3, 93.7) 8-18 320 A Elon Colonial ( 7-10, 82.9) 8- 9 322 A Radford Big South ( 4-14, 71.3) 16-15 328 H William & Mary Colonial ( 7- 9, 79.9) 10-13 404 H Campbell Colonial (11- 6, 81.7) 17-12 411 A Hofstra Colonial (10- 7, 84.6) 11-22 415 A Drexel Colonial ( 5-11, 83.2) 10-15 418 H Old Dominion AAC ( 5-12, 76.2) 9- 5 425 H Towson Colonial ( 8-11, 84.1) 11-12
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Merrimack 13-10 3 4 -1.09
211 H La Salle 16- 6 10 10 0.47
214 A Wagner 13- 6 7 4 + 2.53
218 A Rutgers 5-20 -15 -12 -1.54
222 H Youngstown State 17- 7 10 9 1.12
301 H Lafayette 7-10 -3 2 -- -5.07
304 A Rider 17- 8 9 6 + 2.83
311 H Sacred Heart 15- 5 10 6 + 3.61
315 H Stony Brook 8-18 -10 -13 + 2.55
320 A Elon 8- 9 -1 -5 + 3.52
322 A Radford 16-15 1 7 --- -6.10
328 H William & Mary 10-13 -3 1 -- -4.28
404 H Campbell 17-12 5 -1 ++ 5.57
411 A Hofstra 11-22 -11 -6 -- -4.87
415 A Drexel 10-15 -5 -5 -0.18
418 H Old Dominion 9- 5 4 5 -1.00
425 H Towson 11-12 -1 -3 1.94
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 A Radford 16-15 1 7 --- -6.10 301 H Lafayette 7-10 -3 2 -- -5.07 328 H William & Mary 10-13 -3 1 -- -4.28 411 A Hofstra 11-22 -11 -6 -- -4.87 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 H Campbell 17-12 5 -1 ++ 5.57 214 A Wagner 13- 6 7 4 + 2.53 304 A Rider 17- 8 9 6 + 2.83 311 H Sacred Heart 15- 5 10 6 + 3.61 315 H Stony Brook 8-18 -10 -13 + 2.55 320 A Elon 8- 9 -1 -5 + 3.52 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Merrimack ( 6-11, 74.3) 13-10 -25.56 14.60 1.37 1.02 32.55
3 H La Salle ( 3-14, 71.6) 16- 6 -28.27 11.90 -1.37 1.02 21.46
3 A Wagner ( 6- 9, 74.0) 13- 6 -25.95 14.22 1.37 1.02 31.77
3 A Rutgers (11- 9, 90.9) 5-20 -9.02 31.15 1.37 1.02 -3.90
3 H Youngstown Sta ( 3-13, 72.3) 17- 7 -27.62 12.55 -1.37 1.02 22.80
3 H Lafayette ( 5-10, 79.1) 7-10 -20.80 19.36 -1.37 1.02 -11.30
3 A Rider ( 1-16, 72.3) 17- 8 -27.64 12.52 1.37 1.02 28.31
3 H Sacred Heart ( 5-10, 74.8) 15- 5 -25.13 15.04 -1.37 1.02 27.86
3 H Stony Brook (19- 3, 93.7) 8-18 -6.19 33.98 -1.37 1.02 -3.85
3 A Elon ( 7-10, 82.9) 8- 9 -16.96 23.21 1.37 1.02 -7.94
3 A Radford ( 4-14, 71.3) 16-15 -28.57 11.60 1.37 1.02 26.43
3 H William & Mary ( 7- 9, 79.9) 10-13 -20.02 20.15 -1.37 1.02 -10.89
3 H Campbell (11- 6, 81.7) 17-12 -18.17 22.00 -1.37 1.02 42.05
3 A Hofstra (10- 7, 84.6) 11-22 -15.34 24.83 1.37 1.02 -7.12
3 A Drexel ( 5-11, 83.2) 10-15 -16.65 23.52 1.37 1.02 -7.79
3 H Old Dominion ( 5-12, 76.2) 9- 5 -23.74 16.43 -1.37 1.02 30.70
3 H Towson ( 8-11, 84.1) 11-12 -15.80 24.37 -1.37 1.02 -8.75
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202.40
|
winning pts = 263.9337 losing points = -61.5344
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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